Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.355322e+00 2.805075 3.287444 3.840083 4.452543 5.107473 5.857698
2025-01-19 1.588551e+00 2.168231 2.844283 3.676931 4.661029 5.774025 7.114766
2025-01-26 1.163475e+00 1.812527 2.630763 3.703737 5.040254 6.618972 8.593098
2025-02-02 8.730636e-01 1.551365 2.472384 3.749882 5.413875 7.450374 10.073053
2025-02-09 6.157340e-01 1.268916 2.229670 3.640199 5.558461 7.984917 11.194085
2025-02-16 4.317344e-01 1.043803 2.021014 3.536372 5.680599 8.473616 12.253702
2025-02-23 3.185661e-01 0.901006 1.904853 3.538193 5.928013 9.116604 13.512452
2025-03-02 2.220989e-01 0.754995 1.754798 3.465456 6.054127 9.590265 14.552461
2025-03-09 1.801261e-01 0.706438 1.757621 3.620588 6.504745 10.506364 16.187010
2025-03-16 1.297454e-01 0.616933 1.670744 3.619878 6.719640 11.098571 17.397320
2025-03-23 1.091265e-01 0.595742 1.706869 3.819819 7.237711 12.120437 19.200979
2025-03-30 8.701623e-02 0.559644 1.706842 3.955194 7.658528 13.011640 20.840019
2025-04-06 6.349307e-02 0.506493 1.665980 4.020896 7.981608 13.783852 22.349952
2025-04-13 3.999369e-02 0.432667 1.565997 3.971015 8.118299 14.290150 23.502968
2025-04-20 2.811480e-02 0.396010 1.542747 4.057379 8.473242 15.119212 25.117602
2025-04-27 1.901887e-02 0.361480 1.517144 4.134847 8.813148 15.930087 26.716396
2025-05-04 9.187164e-03 0.298744 1.404288 4.031046 8.845288 16.280898 27.667152
2025-05-11 3.620218e-03 0.244542 1.297693 3.926098 8.865759 16.609027 28.585363
2025-05-18 1.440925e-03 0.213100 1.247724 3.931109 9.071133 17.218279 29.912739
2025-05-25 2.638549e-04 0.175157 1.164124 3.854420 9.127569 17.596558 30.907828
2025-06-01 9.924017e-05 0.170107 1.191066 4.021791 9.620282 18.657674 32.909848
2025-06-08 1.119910e-06 0.146981 1.145473 4.021374 9.810523 19.248715 34.229435
2025-06-15 1.062049e-11 0.147951 1.192440 4.236140 10.395793 20.467845 36.485452